Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-7
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
61.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 4
CRA
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 1
JAG
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
BOG
30%
22%
48%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAN
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 1
PAN
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
SCH
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
VOJ
1 - 3
AJA
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |