Baiano 1 Round 5

Jacuipense vs Vitória analysis

Jacuipense Vitória
47 ELO 77
-9.4% Tilt -9.6%
3476º General ELO ranking 188º
98º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
7%
Jacuipense
15.2%
Draw
77.8%
Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
Jacuipense
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
77.8%
Win probability
Vitória
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jacuipense
+22%
-8%
Vitória

ELO progression

Jacuipense
Vitória
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jacuipense
Jacuipense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2018
JAC
Jacuipense
1 - 0
Fluminense de Feira
FLU
40%
26%
34%
46 49 3 0
15 Feb. 2018
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
2 - 1
Jacuipense
JAC
64%
21%
15%
46 54 8 0
04 Feb. 2018
JAC
Jacuipense
1 - 1
Atlantico EC
AEC
52%
23%
25%
46 41 5 0
27 Jan. 2018
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
2 - 0
Jacuipense
JAC
41%
27%
32%
48 47 1 -2
25 Jan. 2018
BAH
Bahía
2 - 1
Jacuipense
JAC
84%
12%
4%
48 78 30 0

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2018
VIT
Vitória
0 - 3
Bahía
BAH
57%
23%
20%
78 78 0 0
15 Feb. 2018
VIT
Vitória
3 - 0
Corumbaense
COR
87%
10%
3%
78 53 25 0
10 Feb. 2018
ABC
ABC
3 - 1
Vitória
VIT
13%
21%
66%
78 58 20 0
07 Feb. 2018
GLO
Globo
0 - 2
Vitória
VIT
6%
15%
79%
78 46 32 0
04 Feb. 2018
VIT
Vitória
3 - 0
Bahia de Feira
BAH
89%
9%
3%
78 51 27 0