Jablonec II vs Sparta Kolín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
11º
50
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
JBN
1 - 1
SOK
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
JBN
35%
24%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JBN
0 - 3
UST
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
KOL
2 - 3
JBN
53%
21%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
JBN
1 - 3
FKP
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Kolín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KOL
3 - 2
SOK
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SOK
3 - 2
KOL
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
KOL
6 - 0
BAN
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SOK
2 - 3
KOL
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
SOK
5 - 3
KOL
11%
18%
70%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -2 |