J. Malucelli vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
JMA
1 - 1
ATP
13%
24%
64%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 2
JMA
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
COT
0 - 0
JMA
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JMA
3 - 2
TCW
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
JMA
1 - 0
PRU
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
LON
2 - 2
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FOZ
0 - 1
LON
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 0
LON
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LON
0 - 1
CIA
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
LON
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |