Ivinhema vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivinhema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
IVI
1 - 0
AOU
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
OPE
0 - 4
IVI
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
IVI
0 - 1
PMS
68%
18%
15%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AQU
2 - 2
IVI
37%
24%
40%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 1
IVI
49%
24%
26%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
COS
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AOU
3 - 0
AGU
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
3 - 2
NAV
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
OPE
2 - 0
AGU
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
5 - 0
COX
26%
21%
54%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |