Itumbiara vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
ITU
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 3
ATL
20%
24%
55%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
0 - 0
ANA
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 1
ITU
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 0
CRA
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
GOI
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 1
LON
43%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |