Itumbiara vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
ITU
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 1
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 2
ITU
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
ITU
3 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
ITU
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
ATL
3 - 2
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 1
VIL
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |