Paulista A1 Round 4

Ituano vs Linense CA analysis

Ituano Linense CA
56 ELO 60
0.3% Tilt 5.6%
1154º General ELO ranking 4666º
48º Country ELO ranking 146º
ELO win probability
40%
Ituano
24.1%
Draw
35.9%
Linense CA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Ituano
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.9%
Win probability
Linense CA
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ituano
-19%
-18%
Linense CA

ELO progression

Ituano
Linense CA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ituano
Ituano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2011
SAO
São Caetano
0 - 1
Ituano
ITU
62%
21%
17%
55 66 11 0
19 Jan. 2011
ITU
Ituano
1 - 4
Palmeiras
PAL
17%
25%
59%
55 83 28 0
16 Jan. 2011
PAU
Paulista
2 - 1
Ituano
ITU
50%
23%
27%
56 58 2 -1
08 Apr. 2010
POR
Portuguesa
2 - 3
Ituano
ITU
70%
18%
12%
55 76 21 +1
04 Apr. 2010
ITU
Ituano
0 - 2
Corinthians
COR
15%
23%
63%
55 84 29 0

Matches

Linense CA
Linense CA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2011
LIN
Linense CA
1 - 3
Portuguesa
POR
22%
23%
55%
60 74 14 0
19 Jan. 2011
SAN
Santo André
1 - 1
Linense CA
LIN
68%
18%
14%
60 70 10 0
15 Jan. 2011
LIN
Linense CA
1 - 4
Santos FC
SAN
10%
16%
74%
60 85 25 0
02 May. 2010
LIN
Linense CA
3 - 3
São Bernardo FC
SAO
48%
24%
28%
60 60 0 0
24 Apr. 2010
UNI
União Barbarense
1 - 2
Linense CA
LIN
35%
24%
41%
60 54 6 0