Paulista A3 round 17

Itapirense vs CA Juventus analysis

Itapirense CA Juventus
47 ELO 46
-0.9% Tilt -4.8%
6916º General ELO ranking 3336º
295º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
58.2%
Itapirense
22.1%
Draw
19.7%
CA Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
Itapirense
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
CA Juventus
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Itapirense
-19%
+23%
CA Juventus

ELO progression

Itapirense
CA Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Itapirense
Itapirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2011
VEL
Velo Clube
1 - 1
Itapirense
ITA
45%
25%
31%
49 47 2 0
26 Mar. 2011
ITA
Itapirense
2 - 2
Inter de Limeira
INT
59%
22%
19%
49 43 6 0
23 Mar. 2011
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Itapirense
ITA
85%
12%
3%
49 82 33 0
19 Mar. 2011
ITA
Itapirense
1 - 0
Paulinia
PFC
73%
17%
10%
49 32 17 0
16 Mar. 2011
TAB
Taboão da Serra
3 - 1
Itapirense
ITA
25%
24%
51%
50 36 14 -1

Matches

CA Juventus
CA Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2011
JUV
CA Juventus
1 - 1
Inter de Limeira
INT
46%
25%
29%
44 44 0 0
27 Mar. 2011
TAU
Taubaté
1 - 2
CA Juventus
JUV
51%
24%
25%
43 45 2 +1
23 Mar. 2011
JUV
CA Juventus
1 - 2
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
45%
24%
31%
44 44 0 -1
20 Mar. 2011
JUV
CA Juventus
1 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
9%
18%
73%
44 83 39 0
17 Mar. 2011
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
3 - 2
CA Juventus
JUV
73%
17%
10%
45 60 15 -1