Itapirense vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 2
ITA
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
BEB
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |