Itapirense vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUD
27%
25%
47%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
ITA
50%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 2
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
GDS
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 2
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
BAR
32%
28%
41%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 4
MAT
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |