Cearense 1 Round 11

Itapipoca vs Fortaleza EC analysis

Itapipoca Fortaleza EC
45 ELO 63
2.7% Tilt 6.2%
6676º General ELO ranking 145º
263º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
23.3%
Itapipoca
23.6%
Draw
53.1%
Fortaleza EC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
Itapipoca
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.1%
Win probability
Fortaleza EC
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Itapipoca
+37%
-19%
Fortaleza EC

ELO progression

Itapipoca
Fortaleza EC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Itapipoca
Itapipoca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2010
GUA
Guarany de Sobral
1 - 1
Itapipoca
ITA
58%
22%
20%
45 54 9 0
07 Feb. 2010
ITA
Itapipoca
2 - 2
EC Limoeiro
LIM
57%
22%
21%
45 40 5 0
04 Feb. 2010
BOV
Boa Viagem EC
1 - 2
Itapipoca
ITA
48%
23%
29%
45 45 0 0
02 Feb. 2010
ITA
Itapipoca
0 - 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
53%
23%
24%
45 44 1 0
29 Jan. 2010
ITA
Itapipoca
3 - 2
Maranguape
MAR
37%
25%
38%
44 50 6 +1

Matches

Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2010
FOR
Fortaleza EC
3 - 1
Boa Viagem EC
BOV
79%
14%
8%
62 44 18 0
11 Feb. 2010
TIG
Tigres do Brasil
2 - 2
Fortaleza EC
FOR
26%
24%
50%
62 47 15 0
06 Feb. 2010
FOR
Fortaleza EC
3 - 2
Ferroviário
FER
71%
17%
12%
62 53 9 0
04 Feb. 2010
GUA
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 - 1
Fortaleza EC
FOR
23%
23%
54%
63 45 18 -1
31 Jan. 2010
CEA
Ceará
0 - 0
Fortaleza EC
FOR
55%
23%
22%
63 69 6 0