Itapipoca vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 0
ITA
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 4
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 2
LIM
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 2
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
LIM
1 - 2
FER
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 2
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |