Itapemirim vs Nova Venecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 2
EST
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VFC
1 - 0
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 3
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DES
2 - 0
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 1
VIT
41%
23%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
NVE
34%
23%
43%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NVE
0 - 1
REA
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 1
SER
67%
18%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
NVE
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |