Italy U19s vs North Macedonia Under 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
FIN
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 1
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
SCT
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
HRV
40%
23%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 3
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
North Macedonia Under 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
MKD
82%
12%
5%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
MKD
5 - 1
LIE
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BIH
1 - 1
MKD
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
MKD
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 5
MKD
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +2 |