Italy U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
AUT
0 - 1
ITA
15%
23%
61%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
FIN
1 - 2
ITA
15%
23%
62%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 1
ITA
26%
25%
48%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 0
FIN
80%
14%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 0
ENG
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
SYM
3 - 0
WLS
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
WLS
3 - 0
AZE
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2002 |
AZE
0 - 1
WLS
54%
22%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
WLS
1 - 2
ITA
9%
20%
72%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
FIN
2 - 1
WLS
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |