Italia U21 vs Dinamarca U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1999 |
SUI
0 - 0
ITA
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
ITA
6 - 2
WAL
82%
14%
5%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
ITA
4 - 1
BLR
76%
16%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
DEN
1 - 2
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1998 |
ITA
0 - 0
ESP
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamarca U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
DEN
1 - 3
SUI
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
WAL
1 - 2
DEN
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
DEN
2 - 0
BLR
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
DEN
1 - 2
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1998 |
SUI
2 - 0
DEN
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |