Italy U20 vs Norway U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 2
CHE
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
PRT
3 - 4
ITA
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 2
ENG
26%
21%
52%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
CZE
0 - 2
ITA
26%
21%
53%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
POL
48%
22%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Norway U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
POL
1 - 1
NOR
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
SWE
3 - 2
NOR
36%
22%
42%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 2
FRA
15%
17%
68%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
NOR
12 - 0
HND
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 2
NZL
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |