Italia U20 vs Austria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 0
GER
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
AUT
4 - 2
ITA
30%
24%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
SUI
0 - 1
ITA
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 0
SUI
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
GER
1 - 1
ITA
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Austria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
GER
4 - 1
AUT
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
AUT
2 - 3
SUI
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
AUT
4 - 2
ITA
30%
24%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
GER
2 - 3
AUT
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
AUT
2 - 3
GER
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |