Italy U20 vs Germany U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 1
ITA
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 0
CHE
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
6 - 0
QAT
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
FRA
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
FRA
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
DEU
1 - 2
POL
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
POL
0 - 2
DEU
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
DEU
1 - 1
CHE
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
NLD
1 - 1
DEU
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DEU
1 - 0
TUR
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |