Itala San Marco vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itala San Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FCC
0 - 1
ITA
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
PRO
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
ITA
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 0
SAC
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 4
ITA
44%
27%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
USP
0 - 1
VIN
37%
29%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ACS
3 - 1
USP
64%
22%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
USP
0 - 2
ACP
21%
25%
54%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VFC
4 - 2
USP
53%
25%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 0
USP
66%
22%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |