Águilas Doradas vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
AGU
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
PAT
2 - 0
AGU
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
AGU
0 - 0
RIO
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
COR
2 - 2
AGU
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAT
49%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
UNI
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 3
RSC
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SAB
1 - 0
CAR
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 3
PAS
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 0
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |