Itacuruba SC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
75.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 2
ITU
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 1
FOR
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2004 |
ITU
2 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |