Itabuna vs Catuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 2
FLU
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 0
CFC
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
POC
1 - 2
ITA
25%
22%
53%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
COL
5 - 2
ITA
34%
24%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 0
COL
58%
21%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
2 - 0
ALA
75%
15%
9%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
1 - 2
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
4 - 3
JUA
73%
16%
10%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
IPI
4 - 2
CAT
21%
22%
56%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CAT
2 - 2
IPI
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |