Rio Cup . Last 16
Global 2-5
Itaborai vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaborai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
AME
37%
25%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
QUE
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
AME
2 - 0
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
ITA
19%
22%
60%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
URT
0 - 0
POR
41%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
AUD
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
ITU
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |