Rio Cup . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Itaborai vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaborai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 0
ITA
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAA
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 1
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
CAA
1 - 1
ITA
17%
18%
65%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 0
ITA
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
FRI
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FRI
2 - 0
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
3 - 0
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 3
FRI
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |