Mineiro 1 Trofeo Inconfidencia Semi-finals
Itabirito vs Pouso Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
IFC
86%
8%
6%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 2
PAT
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
ATM
7%
18%
76%
|
43 | 87 | 44 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 2
IFC
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
POA
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POA
0 - 2
CRZ
11%
23%
66%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 1
POA
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
POA
1 - 0
DEM
29%
25%
47%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |