Itabaiana vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 0
AFP
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
5 - 2
AMA
65%
21%
13%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 5
ITA
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CON
3 - 2
SER
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
AMA
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 4
CON
17%
23%
61%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |