Série D Brazil . Last 16
Global 2-2
Itabaiana vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
ITA
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
POT
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
ITA
31%
28%
41%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
GLO
0 - 0
CAM
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
GLO
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
CAM
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |