Istres vs Cagnes-Le Cros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+600%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
3º
1º
27
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
IST
30%
22%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
IST
0 - 1
AGD
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 3
IST
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
IST
1 - 2
MON
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 1
IST
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cagnes-Le Cros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 2
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
EUA
2 - 1
ASC
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 0
STC
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RSV
4 - 3
ASC
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
COR
3 - 2
ASC
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |