NK Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
10º
5º
46
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
IST
0 - 2
HKS
13%
20%
67%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
OPA
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 0
IST
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
IST
3 - 1
SLA
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
HKS
3 - 1
IST
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 1
SLA
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
NKV
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
POS
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
NKV
3 - 0
VEL
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 3
ZRI
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |