NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
5º
10º
6º
37
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
5 - 0
IST
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VNZ
1 - 1
IST
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GOZ
1 - 2
IST
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
UDI
4 - 1
IST
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 2
IST
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 0
NKV
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
3 - 0
RUD
72%
17%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 1
KON
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 3
BUD
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
3 - 0
LOK
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |