İstanbul Başakşehir vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GOZ
2 - 1
IST
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
IST
3 - 1
FAT
57%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
IST
0 - 1
KAY
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
KON
2 - 1
IST
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
IST
0 - 1
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 1
FEN
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
SIV
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 2
FEN
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 5
FEN
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 0
ANT
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |