WC Qual. Oceania Playoffs. Final
Global 3-8
Solomon Islands vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
73.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
NZL
6 - 1
SLB
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 2
SLB
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 2
PNG
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FJI
1 - 0
SLB
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
FJI
1 - 1
SLB
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
NZL
6 - 1
SLB
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
NZL
0 - 4
PRT
7%
17%
76%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
RUS
2 - 0
NZL
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
BLR
1 - 0
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |