Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
77.9%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Mariana Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
MNP
1 - 1
MAC
5%
13%
83%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
MNG
9 - 0
MNP
88%
9%
3%
|
5 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUM
4 - 0
MNP
87%
10%
3%
|
5 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
MNP
0 - 8
MNG
4%
12%
84%
|
6 | 28 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MNP
1 - 3
MAC
4%
11%
85%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GUM
0 - 1
SGP
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SGP
2 - 1
GUM
76%
15%
10%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
KHM
2 - 1
GUM
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GUM
0 - 1
KHM
21%
20%
58%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
PHL
3 - 0
GUM
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | -1 |