European U21 Championship qualifying Round 3

Islandia U21 vs Ucrania U21 analysis

Islandia U21 Ucrania U21
59 ELO 68
2% Tilt -3.8%
2802º General ELO ranking 1469º
16º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
28.3%
Islandia U21
24.7%
Draw
47.1%
Ucrania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
Islandia U21
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.1%
Win probability
Ucrania U21
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Islandia U21
+25%
+24%
Ucrania U21

ELO progression

Islandia U21
Ucrania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Islandia U21
Islandia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2016
ISL
Islandia U21
2 - 0
Escocia U21
SCO
45%
25%
30%
59 58 1 0
06 Sep. 2016
FRA
Francia U21
2 - 0
Islandia U21
ISL
75%
17%
8%
60 82 22 -1
02 Sep. 2016
NIR
Irlanda del Norte U21
0 - 1
Islandia U21
ISL
14%
18%
68%
60 41 19 0
24 Mar. 2016
MKD
Macedonia del Norte U21
0 - 0
Islandia U21
ISL
27%
26%
47%
60 53 7 0
13 Oct. 2015
SCO
Escocia U21
0 - 0
Islandia U21
ISL
43%
25%
32%
60 60 0 0

Matches

Ucrania U21
Ucrania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2016
UKR
Ucrania U21
1 - 1
Irlanda del Norte U21
NIR
84%
12%
4%
68 40 28 0
06 Sep. 2016
UKR
Ucrania U21
4 - 0
Escocia U21
SCO
57%
23%
19%
67 59 8 +1
02 Sep. 2016
UKR
Ucrania U21
1 - 0
Francia U21
FRA
19%
23%
58%
67 83 16 0
02 Jun. 2016
AUT
Austria U21
1 - 1
Ucrania U21
UKR
58%
22%
20%
66 71 5 +1
31 May. 2016
UKR
Ucrania U21
1 - 1
Israel U21
ISR
39%
26%
36%
66 69 3 0