European U17 Championship qualifying Group 3 Round 1

Islandia U17 vs Lituania U17 analysis

Islandia U17 Lituania U17
47 ELO 31
-0.8% Tilt -2.1%
6167º General ELO ranking 9189º
47º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
71.2%
Islandia U17
16.9%
Draw
11.8%
Lituania U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
Islandia U17
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.8%
Win probability
Lituania U17
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Islandia U17
-1%
+9%
Lituania U17

ELO progression

Islandia U17
Lituania U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Islandia U17
Islandia U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2006
FRA
Francia U17
3 - 1
Islandia U17
ISL
65%
20%
15%
47 60 13 0
25 Sep. 2006
ROU
Rumanía U17
1 - 1
Islandia U17
ISL
50%
23%
27%
47 49 2 0
27 Sep. 2005
CZE
República Checa U17
4 - 1
Islandia U17
ISL
59%
21%
21%
47 50 3 0
25 Sep. 2005
ISL
Islandia U17
2 - 2
Suecia U17
SWE
48%
23%
29%
47 47 0 0
23 Sep. 2005
ISL
Islandia U17
6 - 0
Andorra U17
AND
74%
16%
10%
47 30 17 0

Matches

Lituania U17
Lituania U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2006
LTU
Lituania U17
0 - 3
Rumanía U17
ROU
24%
23%
53%
34 49 15 0
25 Sep. 2006
FRA
Francia U17
4 - 2
Lituania U17
LTU
71%
18%
11%
34 60 26 0
01 Oct. 2005
LTU
Lituania U17
2 - 0
Malta U17
MLT
57%
21%
22%
32 30 2 +2
29 Sep. 2005
NIR
Irlanda del Norte U17
1 - 0
Lituania U17
LTU
62%
19%
19%
33 41 8 -1
27 Sep. 2005
SRB
Serbia U17
4 - 0
Lituania U17
LTU
78%
14%
8%
33 51 18 0