Isidro Metapán vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
9º
7º
26
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
87% | 65% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isidro Metapán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
ALI
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 2
MET
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
MET
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
ONC
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
JOC
1 - 1
MET
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDD
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
JOC
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDP
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |