Ireland U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
2 - 3
IRL
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
IRL
0 - 2
PRT
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
DEU
2 - 2
IRL
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
NLD
1 - 0
IRL
69%
18%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
IRL
0 - 1
BEL
26%
24%
51%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 0
MNE
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
BGR
0 - 2
ENG
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
MNE
0 - 3
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 1
ROU
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
NLD
1 - 1
ENG
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |