Northern Ireland U17s vs Spain U17s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2004 |
NIR
2 - 5
TUR
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
FRA
3 - 0
NIR
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 2
NIR
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
NIR
2 - 0
SCT
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
NIR
3 - 2
BLR
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Spain U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUR
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
HUN
1 - 6
ESP
20%
23%
58%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 1
RUS
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
4 - 0
CZE
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |