Mineiro 1 . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Ipatinga FC vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 1
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 2
CAL
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 4
IFC
36%
25%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
USC
2 - 0
IFC
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 0
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TUP
2 - 1
UBE
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 2
USC
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
TUP
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
TUP
3 - 2
CRZ
4%
13%
83%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
DEM
4 - 2
TUP
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |