Inverurie Loco Works vs Buckie Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
59.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
9º
7º
87
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 3
INV
12%
17%
72%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
INV
1 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
INV
0 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 5
INV
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
INV
1 - 1
BAN
49%
22%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 1
BRO
41%
22%
38%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
BUC
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
8 - 0
STR
92%
7%
2%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 3
BUC
8%
12%
80%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 6
BUC
4%
10%
87%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |