Inverness CT vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
7º
10º
9º
45
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 1
ICT
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ICT
3 - 3
PAR
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 3
HIB
18%
22%
61%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 1
QUE
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 3
ICT
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARB
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 3
QUE
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 5
GRE
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |