Ayacucho FC vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SRP
3 - 0
AYA
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AYA
5 - 3
SPC
28%
24%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
AYA
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
AYA
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 3
GAR
38%
27%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
UTC
0 - 0
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 2
UTC
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 0
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 0
UTC
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |