Ayacucho FC vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SPC
4 - 0
AYA
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 0
AYA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
AYA
2 - 2
GAR
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
HUA
2 - 2
AYA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 2
AYA
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
CIE
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
DEF
22%
24%
55%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
UTC
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
COM
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |