Ayacucho FC vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 0
AYA
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 1
SAM
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
GAL
3 - 2
AYA
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
4 - 2
AYA
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AYA
1 - 0
UNI
33%
30%
38%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 5
SAM
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 1
ALI
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
UNA
2 - 1
TOT
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 0
TOT
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 1
SPC
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |