Ayacucho FC vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
AYA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AYA
2 - 1
UTC
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
AYA
1 - 1
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
AYA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
AYA
5 - 3
SPC
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
COM
2 - 4
SRP
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 3
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
COM
0 - 2
UNI
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |