Inter vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
SLP
1 - 3
INT
48%
25%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 3
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
INT
2 - 1
VER
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
BVB
3 - 2
INT
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 2
INT
27%
26%
48%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 0
SPA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 1
SAM
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
ACM
1 - 0
SPA
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 1
NAP
13%
20%
66%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |