Inter vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LAZ
1 - 1
INT
33%
25%
43%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 5
INT
18%
23%
60%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
INT
4 - 3
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
INT
7 - 0
PIS
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
INT
7 - 0
CAR
87%
11%
3%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 0
SPE
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACM
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 2
ACM
18%
24%
59%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 2
BOG
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ACM
2 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |