Serie A . Jor. 27

Inter vs Genoa analysis

Inter Genoa
98 ELO 83
6.1% Tilt 6.2%
General ELO ranking 193º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
83.4%
Inter
11.9%
Draw
4.7%
Genoa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
Inter
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.6%
Win probability
Genoa
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inter
+3%
+10%
Genoa

Points and table prediction

Inter
Their league position
Genoa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
93
46
11º
20º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter
93
96
100%
Milan
74
77
100%
Juventus
68
71
27.5%
Atalanta
66
70
21.5%
Bologna
68
69
62.5%
Roma
63
66
100%
Lazio
60
63
98.5%
Fiorentina
54
57
69.5%
Napoli
10º
52
55
57%
Torino
53
53
10º
78.5%
Genoa
11º
46
47
11º
90.5%
AC Monza
12º
45
45
12º
90.5%
Frosinone
16º
35
38
13º
25.5%
Hellas Verona
13º
37
37
14º
38%
Lecce
14º
37
37
15º
41%
Cagliari
15º
36
37
16º
43.5%
Udinese
17º
34
34
17º
47.5%
Empoli
18º
33
33
18º
62%
Sassuolo
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Salernitana
20º
16
16
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Inter
Genoa
Champion
100% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Inter
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Bologna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inter
Inter
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2024
INT
Inter
4 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
66%
19%
15%
97 92 5 0
25 Feb. 2024
LEC
Lecce
0 - 4
Inter
INT
11%
20%
69%
97 80 17 0
20 Feb. 2024
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Atlético
ATM
57%
22%
21%
97 95 2 0
16 Feb. 2024
INT
Inter
4 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
85%
11%
4%
97 77 20 0
10 Feb. 2024
ROM
Roma
2 - 4
Inter
INT
22%
25%
53%
97 90 7 0

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
GEN
Genoa
2 - 0
Udinese
UDI
46%
25%
29%
83 84 1 0
17 Feb. 2024
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Genoa
GEN
77%
15%
8%
83 93 10 0
11 Feb. 2024
GEN
Genoa
1 - 4
Atalanta
ATL
21%
24%
55%
83 91 8 0
03 Feb. 2024
EMP
Empoli
0 - 0
Genoa
GEN
47%
25%
27%
83 80 3 0
28 Jan. 2024
GEN
Genoa
2 - 1
Lecce
LEC
56%
24%
21%
83 81 2 0
X